In the days (quite a while ago now) when I was involved with HMG thinking on this subject, we thought one argument - though only one - against US or Israeli military action was the uncertainty of hitting all Iran’s key facilities, given its ability to hide them. Given recent evidence of the extraordinary degree to which Israeli intelligence has penetrated Iran, I’m less sure that holds up.
Of course, if there’s one thing most likely to reverse the recent fall in oil prices, it would be this…
Very interesting and makes total sense. Trump wants his military parade after all. But if the USA and Israel do this how will Russia and China, for that matter, respond? Would Putin be happy to throw his friend Iran under the bus? Maybe he would if Trump lets Putin have Ukraine, Georgia, Romania, the Baltics et al.
A convincing analysis.
In the days (quite a while ago now) when I was involved with HMG thinking on this subject, we thought one argument - though only one - against US or Israeli military action was the uncertainty of hitting all Iran’s key facilities, given its ability to hide them. Given recent evidence of the extraordinary degree to which Israeli intelligence has penetrated Iran, I’m less sure that holds up.
Of course, if there’s one thing most likely to reverse the recent fall in oil prices, it would be this…
Very interesting and makes total sense. Trump wants his military parade after all. But if the USA and Israel do this how will Russia and China, for that matter, respond? Would Putin be happy to throw his friend Iran under the bus? Maybe he would if Trump lets Putin have Ukraine, Georgia, Romania, the Baltics et al.
I used to take you seriously…
Till brexit castrated Newsnight.